COMPLEXITY RESEARCH ON MODELING HISTORICAL EVOLUTION

Why study history as a complex system?

At the dawn of Western history, Thales argued that time was the wisest, as it revealed all things. The scientific revolution, however, taught us otherwise: understanding does not emerge merely by waiting and observing, nor by interpreting historical phenomena through qualitative models or narratives, as in the tradition of classical historiography. True comprehension requires quantitative and formal models of the surrounding reality. Such models enable us to reason about the underlying causes of events, assess their origins, and derive meaningful lessons.

This satellite aims to provide a meeting to complexity scientists working on historical domains, providing a single place to integrate advancements achieved by the community addressing these topics in recent years. Its objectives include identifying emerging challenges within this specific domain, and exploring how such applied research can contribute to the broader development of complexity science as a whole.

CALLS FOR PAPER

We welcome contributed talks on, but not limited to, the following topics:

KEYNOTE SPEAKER

Peter Turchin

Project Leader, Complexity Science Hub-Vienna
Professor Emeritus, University of Connecticut
Research Associate, School of Anthropology, University of Oxford

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Important dates

June 25th, 2025: Abstract submission deadline
July 10th, 2025: Results for the abstract selection
July 20th, 2025: Early bird registration to CCS205
September 3th, 2025: COMPLEX ROME Satellite event

Session Talk Time start Time end
Introduction 9:45 9:50
Keynote speaker Peter Turchin, Complexity Science Hub-Vienna, University of Connecticut, School of Anthropology, University of Oxford 9:50 10:20
Lighting talks Raphael Schlattmann, Technische Universität Berlin, Germany 10:20 10:25
Lighting talks Jacob Billings, Universidad Politécnica di Madrid 10:25 10:30
Lighting talks Tomáš Hampejs, Centre for the Digital Research of Religion, Masaryk University (Brno, CZ) 10:30 10:35
Break 10:35 11:00
Historical simulation Marek Vlach, Institute of Archaeology, Czech Academy of Sciences 11:00 11:15
Historical simulation Christopher J. Watts, Affiliated researcher, University of Helsinki (FI) 11:15 11:30
Historical network Carlo De Mitri 11:30 11:45
Historical network Niclas Frederic Sturm, Nova IMS, Universidade Nova de Lisboa (PT) 11:45 12:00
Contemporary history Dario Zarcone, Università degli Studi di Palermo 12:00 12:15
Contemporary history Marcelo del Castillo-Mussot, Instituto de Física, UNAM (MX) 12:15 12:30
Recap and conclusions 12:30 12:45

Registration

Registration to the main conference (link) is mandatory for all the participants.
More information can be found at Registration

Abstract submission

Please submit your contribution (up to 2 pages including figures and references) following this link by June 25th 2025.
Decisions will be provided by July 10th 2025.

Satellite Organizers

Francesco 
Bertolotti

Intelligence, Complexity and Technology Lab (ICT Lab)
LIUC - Università Cattaneo

Sabin
Roman

Center for the Study of the Existential Risk
University of Cambridge

Pablo 
Rosillo-Rodes

Institute for Cross-Disciplinary Physics and Complex Systems IFISC (UIB-CSIC)
University of the Balearic Islands